Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000700 0.000796 0.000898 0.001014 0.001141 0.001276 0.001431
2025-08-03 0.000531 0.000662 0.000810 0.000988 0.001197 0.001432 0.001714
2025-08-10 0.000457 0.000605 0.000780 0.001001 0.001269 0.001581 0.001968
2025-08-17 0.000395 0.000553 0.000747 0.001001 0.001319 0.001701 0.002188
2025-08-24 0.000334 0.000492 0.000696 0.000971 0.001325 0.001762 0.002333
2025-08-31 0.000285 0.000442 0.000651 0.000943 0.001329 0.001817 0.002467
2025-09-07 0.000253 0.000411 0.000629 0.000940 0.001363 0.001906 0.002645
2025-09-14 0.000227 0.000385 0.000610 0.000939 0.001398 0.001998 0.002827
2025-09-21 0.000201 0.000357 0.000586 0.000929 0.001417 0.002067 0.002979
2025-09-28 0.000177 0.000329 0.000558 0.000912 0.001425 0.002120 0.003110
2025-10-05 0.000167 0.000322 0.000560 0.000937 0.001491 0.002253 0.003351
2025-10-12 0.000156 0.000312 0.000559 0.000955 0.001548 0.002374 0.003578
2025-10-19 0.000140 0.000292 0.000540 0.000948 0.001569 0.002446 0.003740
2025-10-26 0.000124 0.000271 0.000518 0.000932 0.001575 0.002498 0.003876
2025-11-02 0.000115 0.000261 0.000512 0.000942 0.001620 0.002605 0.004090
2025-11-09 0.000105 0.000248 0.000501 0.000943 0.001650 0.002690 0.004275
2025-11-16 0.000091 0.000226 0.000473 0.000913 0.001632 0.002705 0.004358
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000207 0.000447 0.000887 0.001617 0.002721 0.004443
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000196 0.000436 0.000884 0.001639 0.002793 0.004610
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000187 0.000427 0.000884 0.001664 0.002871 0.004788
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000176 0.000413 0.000874 0.001673 0.002924 0.004927
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000163 0.000396 0.000858 0.001671 0.002958 0.005040
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000162 0.000401 0.000881 0.001736 0.003098 0.005315